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Cake day: June 26th, 2023

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  • The GOP survives off of 2 single-issue groups. Gun rights groups and Pro Lifers are by far the most important single-issue voting groups in the country, and the GOP has a strong hold on them. Not because they hold a majority view (most people want stronger gun control and access to abortion), but because almost nobody is single-issue on the other side.

    Imagine a hypothetical world where Joe Biden had been pro-life (because of his Catholocism) and Donald Trump had been pro-choice (because he thinks fetuses are children and murdering children makes him giggle), but their stances on other issues were unchanged versus reality.

    Very few pro-choice people would have swapped to voting for Trump. But millions of pro-life people would have flipped to Biden.

    It’s similar with guns.